There's a 75 percent chance the El Nino weather pattern will occur in late 2014, according to a report published in the journal PNAS that's able to look further in the future than earlier models.
Instead of forecasting six months out, researchers used a 12-month model that successfully predicted the absence of El Nino in the past two years.
An El Nino toward the end of this year would increase temperatures in 2015, and having more time to prepare would help farmers and government agencies, said researchers Josef Ludescher and Armin Bunde.
EL NIÑO/OSCILACION SUR
(ENSO por sus siglas en inglés)
DISCUSION DIAGNOSTICA
Una corriente descendente significativa en la onda oceánica Kelvin aumentó el contenido calórico oceánico (Fig. 3) produciendo anomalías positivas amplias en las temperaturas de la su superficie a través del centro y este central del Pacífico
